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Forum: Reliability & Maintainability Questions and Answers

Topic: Reliability & Maintainability Questions and Answers

Topic Posted by: Reliability & Maintainability Forum (src_forum@alionscience.com )
Organization: System Reliability Center
Date Posted: Mon Aug 31 12:47:36 US/Eastern 1998

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Original Message:

Posted by: Andrew Comons
Date posted: Mon Mar 4 20:47:32 US/Eastern 2002
Subject: MTBF and Redundent Systems
Message:
I am trying to write a system specification for equipment which will be fielded in pairs, the second system will act as backup system. Each system will be required to have a spare parts package on-board, where the fulltime attending operator will be required to employ built in diagnostics and correct faults within a period of 5 minutes. If faults can't be corrected in 5 minutes the decision is to switch to the backup system. Mission duration is 120 hours. Reliability goal is 95%. I need to determine MTBF of the system, including the redundent but I do not know how to account for a failure if it is correctable by the 5 minute fault detection/correction requirement. Sample calcs, references or advice available? Thanks in advance.


Reply:

Subject: Repairable system reliability approximation
Reply Posted by: Larry George (pstlarry@attbi.com )
Organization: Problem Solving Tools
Date Posted: Sat Mar 9 12:49:30 US/Eastern 2002
Message:
K.I.S.S. The following Markov chain model may be an adequate approximation for specifying reliability and MTBF. Build a spreadsheet to analyze the Markov chain shown in the transition diagram below for reliability and MTBF.
This model assumes failure and repair rates don't depend on time or age and that the reserve system won't fail while on standby.
[Sys1 up] mu<->lambda [Sys 1 dn] ->1-mu [Sys 2 up] mu<->lambda [Sys 2 dn] ->1-mu [Failure]
lambda is the failure rate of either system mu is the repair rate of either system. Use the probability that repair is completed within 5 minutes.
Let me know if you would like help with the spreadsheet model.


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